Germany will aim to reignite their World Cup 2026 qualifying campaign when they host Luxembourg in Sinsheim on Friday evening, with Julian Nagelsmann’s side under growing pressure to deliver a convincing win.
After a mixed start to Group A, the four-time world champions find themselves third in the standings behind Slovakia and Northern Ireland. A 2–0 defeat in Bratislava last month was a setback, and although Germany responded with a 3–1 win over the Northern Irish, the performance left questions lingering. Now, with only the group winner progressing automatically, Nagelsmann knows there is little room for error.
MATCHDAY!! Ready to take on Luxembourg 💪🇩🇪#DFB #GermanFootball #GermanMNT
📸 Philipp Reinhard/DFB pic.twitter.com/ZTx9ZgXJ3q
— German Football (@DFB_Team_EN) October 10, 2025
Pressure mounts on Nagelsmann
This qualifying cycle was supposed to be straightforward for Germany, but inconsistency has dogged their progress. Their only defeat in World Cup qualifying history came against Slovakia last month, a result that exposed defensive fragility and attacking indecision. Even in victory against Northern Ireland, Germany laboured until second-half goals from Nadiem Amiri and Florian Wirtz spared their blushes.
Nagelsmann’s record as national coach stands at just over 50 percent wins from his first 25 games, a statistic that has not silenced critics. With a trip to Belfast to come after this match, he cannot afford another setback. Germany have faced Luxembourg three times in competitive fixtures, scoring 16 goals without reply, and history suggests another comfortable victory. Anything less could intensify scrutiny on a manager still searching for the right formula in a transitional squad.
Injuries and opportunity in the squad
Injuries have again complicated Nagelsmann’s plans. Captain Manuel Neuer has retired from international duty, while Marc-André ter Stegen remains sidelined. That leaves Hoffenheim’s Oliver Baumann in line to start at his home ground, though illness may open the door for Alexander Nübel or Freiburg youngster Noah Atubolu.
Defensively, Antonio Rüdiger joins Kai Havertz and Jamal Musiala on the injured list, prompting a call-up for uncapped left-back Nathaniel Brown. Nico Schlotterbeck returns after missing the previous internationals, while Pascal Groß and Niclas Füllkrug have been left out. Up front, Nick Woltemade is expected to lead the line after impressing with Newcastle United, offering a more mobile option than Füllkrug.
Germany’s likely lineup features Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka in midfield, with Serge Gnabry and Florian Wirtz providing creativity in attack. The home crowd at Hoffenheim’s PreZero Arena will expect a commanding performance, both to reassert Germany’s authority and to restore faith ahead of more difficult assignments.
Luxembourg seeking an upset
For Luxembourg, the visit to Germany represents one of their toughest tests in recent years. Jeff Strasser’s team opened qualifying with defeats to Northern Ireland and Slovakia but showed signs of progress. A red card cost them in the first match, and only a late goal denied them a point in their second outing.
Strasser, who played in the Bundesliga with Kaiserslautern and Borussia Mönchengladbach, will once again rely on a core of German-based players. Danel Sinani of St Pauli, Aiman Dardari of Augsburg, and Mathias Olesen of Greuther Fürth form the attacking spine, while experienced goalkeeper Anthony Moris anchors the defence. Seid Korac returns from suspension, adding much-needed stability at the back.
Luxembourg’s record against Germany is bleak: eight defeats in nine friendlies and no competitive goals scored since 1939. Yet the visitors have developed resilience in recent years, tightening defensively and looking to hit on the break through pace and set pieces. For them, keeping the scoreline respectable would be a moral victory in itself.
Expected lineups
Germany (3-4-3): Nübel; Anton, Tah, Koch; Schade, Kimmich, Goretzka, Raum; Gnabry, Wirtz, Woltemade. Luxembourg (4-2-3-1): Moris; Jans, Mahmutovic, Korac, Carlson; Olesen, Barreiro; Moreira, Sinani, Bohnert; Dardari.
Prediction and outlook
Given the gulf in quality and resources, few expect anything but a German win. However, the hosts have kept only five clean sheets in their last 18 games, leaving fans eager to see a more controlled defensive display. Nagelsmann will want early goals to settle nerves and perhaps experiment with new combinations ahead of tougher fixtures.
Luxembourg’s recent improvement under Strasser deserves recognition, but against a side desperate to make a statement, it is hard to see them resisting for long. With the crowd behind them in Sinsheim, Germany should dominate possession, press high, and exploit spaces through Wirtz and Gnabry’s movement.
| Pos | Team | Pld | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Germany | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 2 | Slovakia | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 6 |
| 4 | Luxembourg | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | −9 | 0 |
Prediction: Germany 3–0 Luxembourg
A comfortable victory would not only restore confidence but also keep Germany’s qualifying hopes on track before their trip to Northern Ireland.
For Luxembourg, the result may matter less than the performance, as they continue to build towards a more competitive future.
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